Four years of working within HHS/ASPR, the federal government’s pandemic response authority, taught me an unbreakable rule of a true novel pandemic: novel pandemic viruses overflow hospitals.
Stated another way, there’s no novel pandemic virus if the hospitals aren’t experiencing what we call a “pandemic surge event.” This is the point at the top of the infection curve (the point of herd immunity), when cases reach their maximum and the hospitals are in danger of overflowing.
So the CDC (logo below) and their media ilk have been telling us about how the “delta variant” is highly infectious (it’s not) causing hospitals to overflow.
The only problem: It’s not true. There’s no pandemic surge event. The hospital occupancy rates prove this. Here’s a handy link to a site where you can check hospital occupancies anywhere in the country.
Zoom in on the map to your area. You’ll see some hospitals in red, which are over 90% occupancy. That’s normal. Hospitals try to keep their occupancy rates between 85% to 90%, which is their “financial sweet spot.” Chances are these hospitals are in your urban area. If you check these urban hospitals on the weekend, most will be in red.
But look at the other hospitals. Various shades of green- and blue-colored avatars showing most hospitals are under 90% occupancy. Quite a few are under 60% occupancy. Some of these under-occupied hospitals are a few blocks away from the hospitals coded in red.
That doesn’t happen in a pandemic. In a true pandemic, all of those hospitals would be red. You would be able to see the hospitals turn red starting in the cities, and then spreading outwards in a radial fashion. That’s how viral pandemics spread. (Bacterial outbreaks follow the lines of transportation.)
Check out your area’s hospital occupancy rates on the site, and then check your local media outlets’ headlines. Do they line up? Probably not.
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