MUST READ: The “Delta Variant” Is Actually The Flu

Dr. Francis Collins, Director of the NIH, is lying. Imagine that.

On Fox News he said that in the last few weeks the “delta variant” has gone from 13,000 infections to 40,000 infections.

This is a terrific bit of information. Dr. Collins has given us the information we need to do the math and figure out what the delta variant really is.

Let’s say “a few weeks” is 14 days. It’s a guess, but it’s a very conservative guess: every extra day means the delta variant is that much less of a threat.

Biographical Sketch of Francis S. Collins, M.D., Ph.D. | National  Institutes of Health (NIH)
DR. FRANCIS COLLINS

13k to 40k infections in 14 days lets us figure out the doubling period. 13k to 26k means it doubled 1 time. 26k to 52k would be two doublings, so 26k to 40k is about another one-half of a doubling period. Thus, the “delta variant” doubled 1.5 times in those 14 days.

If the virus doubled 1.5 times over 14 days, that means the doubling period for the “delta variant” is 9.3 days. Remember, the original COVID-19 strain had a doubling period of 5.4 days.

Already, we’ve uncovered the first lie: the “delta variant” is not more infectious that the original strain, it’s actually 42% less infectious than the original COVID-19 strain.

Delta variant: Your questions, answered | CNN

The infectious period of COVID is 14 days, the same for most coronaviruses. If a person is infectious for 14 days and the person infects one other person every 9.3 days, then on average a person infected with the “delta variant” infects 1.5 other people. We call this number of secondary infections per person the “base reproduction ratio” or “base reproduction rate.” Sometimes it’s called the “rate of spread.” Whatever you call it, public health science refers to the base reproduction ratio is denoted as R0.

Therefore, R0 for the delta variant is 1.5.

You know what common virus has an average R0 of 1.4, with a normal range between 0.9 to 1.9? The flu.

The delta variant is just another mild flu strain that’s sending older people to the hospital.

When you consider that CDC admitted the PCR test can’t distinguish between flu and COVID, and that this delta variant has the profile of an average flu virus… well, if it walks like a duck and talks like a duck, then it’s a duck, and “delta” is the flu.

Of course, if it sounds like a quack, then it’s Dr. Fauci and his henchmen.

Is it possible that the delta variant is a COVID strain? Yes, of course it’s possible. But if it is, then it’s nowhere near to being the “highly infectious virus” the COVID Cult is claiming.

So either way, Dr. Francis Collins is lying. Either he’s lying when he says the delta variant is COVID, or he’s lying when he says delta is “highly infectious.”

Edit: So it’s the next day after writing this, and I’ve realized I need to clarify a few things. First, flu does not have an average infectious period of 14 days. Flu’s infectious period averages six days. The second mistake is that R0 for influenza should be lower than average during the summer months. This doesn’t necessarily mean my conclusion is wrong, because those variables balance off each other; infectious period up, R0 down, you get a similar result.

What we need to do is to see if “delta is flu” remains a reasonable theory by adjusting the infectious period and R0 to check if we can hit the magic doubling period of 9.3 days. If you move the infectious period from 6 to 8 days and lower R0 to 1.1, you get a doubling period of 7.2 days, which is closer to 9.3 days. Move the infectious period from 6 days to 10 days, and the doubling period becomes 9.1.

Now the question becomes, “Is it reasonable to increase the infectious period by 67%?” If this “delta variant” were occurring in the winter months, I would say it’s not reasonable at all. But in the summer months people interact a lot more. You only have to go to the beach and stand in line at an ice cream stand (which my family did several times last week) to see that it’s very possible to make contact with more than twice as many people (i.e., double R0) in the summer months than in the winter months.

CHECK OUT THE LATEST EPISODE OF THE TROY SMITH SHOW FEATURING AN INTERVIEW WITH LEADER OF TAKE CALIFORNIA BACK, CHRISTIAN VIGIL!

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